Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 68.327339 77.145689 86.180620 96.097269 106.644378 117.497528 129.480274
2025-07-20 55.787437 68.555625 82.238186 97.858671 115.072085 133.347537 154.105383
2025-07-27 47.044544 61.826240 78.222672 97.485738 119.243262 142.830396 170.115165
2025-08-03 40.073569 56.129420 74.516439 96.673047 122.231135 150.421285 183.514598
2025-08-10 35.231971 52.319259 72.454511 97.253696 126.367189 158.933652 197.616010
2025-08-17 30.568498 48.224979 69.640275 96.583534 128.745132 165.193051 208.950916
2025-08-24 27.043527 45.201157 67.825294 96.840624 131.985473 172.263187 221.058445
2025-08-31 23.435328 41.717476 65.159303 95.822647 133.512640 177.186986 230.564170
2025-09-07 21.237863 39.922029 64.466652 97.095249 137.674343 185.106888 243.474206
2025-09-14 19.420075 38.481207 64.102443 98.672909 142.125567 193.311854 256.678501
2025-09-21 16.943485 35.854769 61.995402 97.892743 143.571276 197.857713 265.520933
2025-09-28 14.306457 32.717081 58.995713 95.793319 143.245386 200.174213 271.641635
2025-10-05 13.685014 32.686650 60.289460 99.344357 150.058970 211.198775 288.234466
2025-10-12 12.656879 31.904952 60.469496 101.387072 154.956165 219.903776 302.084518
2025-10-19 11.036238 29.966300 58.877897 100.966654 156.650778 224.650201 311.153207
2025-10-26 9.484801 27.960678 57.062226 100.143629 157.753793 228.615910 319.241366
2025-11-02 8.438422 26.736335 56.324052 100.735212 160.640489 234.753799 329.938624
2025-11-09 7.213926 25.013225 54.724524 100.051409 161.806316 238.714649 337.962909
2025-11-16 6.314753 23.803559 53.840184 100.313773 164.173138 244.146868 347.765042
2025-11-23 5.266987 22.115212 52.095375 99.274774 164.760471 247.306933 354.756433
2025-11-30 4.736526 21.476148 51.997269 100.573646 168.445245 254.361797 366.533621
2025-12-07 4.303296 20.996369 52.127399 102.183674 172.537301 261.930684 378.951004
2025-12-14 3.553531 19.607053 50.656325 101.387530 173.343017 265.298535 386.158393